Home Donald Trump’s odds increase to 51% after Elon Musk rally, says Polymarket

Donald Trump’s odds increase to 51% after Elon Musk rally, says Polymarket

TLDR

  • Trump's odds of winning the presidency rose to 51% after a rally in Pennsylvania.
  • Elon Musk joined Trump at the rally, echoing his call to fight for democracy.
  • Polymarket is thriving from election betting, raising $70M earlier this year.

Donald Trump’s odds of becoming the next US President have increased by three percentage points, according to blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket. 

The catalyst for the surge in the betting market was Trump’s campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, as he returned to the scene where an attempt was made on his life in July. 

He was joined on stage by his close ally, Elon Musk, whose impassioned contribution to “the most important election of our lifetime” appears to have resonated with the target audience.

In a similar overture to woo votes, Trump renewed his pledge to “save” Ross Ulbricht, last week. 

After the rally, Polymarket listed Trump with a 51% chance of securing a return to the White House, with Harris on 48%, as the Democrats seek to secure a consecutive term in office.

At the time of writing on Monday, the positions remain largely unchanged at 51.0% and 48.1%, respectively.

Musk repeats Trump’s call to fight

Musk’s high-profile contribution at the weekend was always going to capture attention and headlines, given his persona and reputation. The richest man in the world has been an outspoken supporter of Trump’s presidential campaign, nailing his colors to the mast in the immediate aftermath of the gun attack on the 45th POTUS in Butler. 

The X and Tesla mogul made typically bold claims during his energetic appearance, as he urged the crowd to “Fight, Fight, Fight!”, echoing Trump’s last salvo in July as he was led off the stage by security officials with blood-dripping down his face.

“President Trump must win to preserve the Constitution. He must win to preserve democracy in America,” stated Musk.

He also denounced the Democrats and Harris, claiming they represent a threat to free speech and constitutional rights, including the right to bear arms. 

In recent weeks, Polymarket has embarked on a fresh funding round, aiming to raise an extra $50 million in new capital amongst expected plans of a new token launch.

Earlier this year, the company raised $70 million in two investment rounds, split between $25 million in a Series A led by General Catalyst and another $45 million in Series B led by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin. 

The platform continues to thrive from its market offering on the presidential election and is likely to do so through to the outcome of the contest in November.

Featured image: Ideogram

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The ReadWrite Editorial policy involves closely monitoring the tech, gambling and blockchain industries for major developments, new product and brand launches, AI breakthroughs, game releases and other newsworthy events. Editors assign relevant stories to in-house staff writers with expertise in each particular topic area. Before publication, articles go through a rigorous round of editing for accuracy, clarity, and to ensure adherence to ReadWrite's style guidelines.

Graeme Hanna
Tech Journalist

Graeme Hanna is a full-time, freelance writer with significant experience in online news as well as content writing. Since January 2021, he has contributed as a football and news writer for several mainstream UK titles including The Glasgow Times, Rangers Review, Manchester Evening News, MyLondon, Give Me Sport, and the Belfast News Letter. Graeme has worked across several briefs including news and feature writing in addition to other significant work experience in professional services. Now a contributing news writer at ReadWrite.com, he is involved with pitching relevant content for publication as well as writing engaging tech news stories.

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