Gartner today announced eight predictions for IT in 2015. Last week, we looked at the broad trends Gartner and two other analyst firms expect to shape the future of IT. This latest announcement makes some more specific predictions about changes the firm's analysts expect to see by 2015 or earlier. For example, the firm predicts that 80% of enterprises will support tablets by 2013 and by 2014 90% of organizations will support enterprise applications on personal devices.

The predictions are as follows:

  1. By 2015, a G20 nation's critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage.
  2. By 2015, new revenue generated each year by IT will determine the annual compensation of most new Global 2000 CIOs.
  3. By 2015, information-smart businesses will increase recognized IT spending per head by 60%.
  4. By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25% of labor hours associated with IT services.
  5. By 2015, 20% of non-IT Global 500 companies will be cloud service providers.
  6. By 2014, 90% of organizations will support corporate applications on personal devices.
  7. By 2013, 80% of businesses will support a workforce using tablets.
  8. By 2015, 10% of your online "friends" will be nonhuman.

The second prediction, that revenue generated by IT will be a CIO compensation factor, is the most interesting to me. It assumes IT will be a profit-center instead of a cost-center for most Global 2000 companies by that time.

What do you think of these predictions? Safe bets? Wishful thinking? A mixture of both?